New study: Regime change in Iran could boost EU economy - 02 Mar 2026
GDP gains of up to 0.7% for the EU; Austria would benefit particularly; dampening effects on inflation; Iran could reach the economic level of Turkey or South Korea in the medium termread more
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has fundamentally changed Central, East and Southeast Europe - 24 Feb 2026
The war has ended the region’s three-decade growth model and replaced it with one defined by security and capital intensityread more
Reorientation of Ukraine’s economy towards the EU - 24 Feb 2026
EU now Ukraine’s most important trading partner; high dependence on China for drones; critical raw materials, defence and renewables are opportunities for Europe; robust agriculture, greater role for the governmentread more
New study: fiscal consolidation dampens growth and increases inequality - 18 Feb 2026
Study shows: dampening effects of fiscal consolidation are significantly stronger in a recession than in an upturn; negative impact in Austria limited so far; ensure socially balanced consolidationread more
United Europe 2031: Widen, Deepen, Survive - 17 Feb 2026
Europe must grasp the nettle and use enlargement to force deep integration – before delay turns into declineread more
Winter forecast for Eastern Europe: Solid growth despite uncertainties - 04 Feb 2026
Structural change in Central and Eastern Europe is in full swing, while Trump, budget deficits and a dictated peace in Ukraine pose risks; Ukraine faces a difficult future, whereas Russia’s economy is stagnatingread more
A dictated peace would be a disaster for Ukraine and Central Eastern Europe - 15 Jan 2026
Without credible security guarantees, Ukraine is likely to become a vassal state of Moscow and will continue to get poorer. The EU members of the region would face economic decline and protracted conflict with Russiaread more
